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The trends in the Crypto Assets market are always full of variables. In the past, the rise and fall of Ethereum seemed to be closely related to Trump's every word and action; now, a single statement from Powell can trigger drastic Fluctuations in the market. This phenomenon inevitably makes one ponder the truth behind the market.
My recent trading experience taught me a valuable lesson. At that time, the market showed some unusual signals: key positions were broken, and the rebound before the meeting appeared weak. Out of caution, I canceled the long position I had originally planned. However, the meeting unexpectedly released dovish signals, causing the market to surge quickly and completely alter the previous market structure.
This experience made me realize that while ordinary investors find it difficult to predict news events, being overly conservative may also lead to missed opportunities. The market structure has not completely deteriorated, yet I missed out on opportunities due to excessive caution. This is undoubtedly a typical case of "seeing the right move but not acting."
Regarding the recent fluctuations of Ethereum, I believe the range of 112,000 to 120,000 is still worth paying attention to. Currently, Ethereum has just gone through a rise and has entered the overbought area. At this time, blindly chasing the rise is not wise; it would be more prudent to wait for a correction confirmation before taking action.
More importantly, I want to emphasize a often overlooked yet crucial point: it is not the market that follows the news, but rather the news that serves capital. In financial markets, the truth is often less important than the level of trust people have in a certain statement. Capital usually quietly withdraws when the public generally believes in something, and enters silently when no one is paying attention.
The news and public opinion we encounter, and sometimes even our own judgments, may be carefully designed "pawns" by others. The purpose of this information is to create a "false impression," confuse perceptions, and ultimately turn ordinary investors into victims of exploitation.
The negative news accompanying a drop is actually meant to create panic, enticing investors to sell their holdings; while the positive news during a rise is intended to stimulate chasing higher prices and provide liquidity for large capital to exit.
Therefore, in the market, we should not overly focus on superficial news, nor should we be swayed by short-term emotions. Learning to think independently and not being confused by the superficial rises and falls and news will allow us to gradually gain insight into the essence of the market and reduce investment losses. Only by maintaining rationality and independent judgment can we stand unbeaten in this complex financial game.